| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $2,036.45 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will trade at or above $2,036.45 during a specific 15-minute window. Short-window price targets matter because they isolate immediate reactions to news, order flow, and liquidity events.
ETH is a liquid, frequently traded cryptocurrency whose short-term price can swing rapidly in response to macro headlines, on-chain developments, and large exchange orders. Fifteen-minute markets capture high-frequency volatility and are commonly used to express views on near-immediate moves rather than longer-term trends.
Market odds on this listing reflect the market’s real-time assessment of the chance ETH will meet the $2,036.45 target within the specified 15-minute window; they update as new information arrives. Use them as a short-term sentiment indicator, not a forecast of longer-term price direction.
Resolution depends on whether the designated reference price source used by the market records a trade at or above $2,036.45 during the market's defined 15-minute window; consult the KALSHI market rules for the official price source and any tie-breaking details.
The start and end timestamps are specified on the market page on KALSHI; if the listing currently shows 'TBD,' monitor the market page for the announced resolution window and check the rule text for time zone and timestamp conventions.
In most short-window trade-based markets, any qualifying trade at or above the target recorded by the reference source during the window constitutes a 'Yes,' but you should confirm whether this market uses trade prints, mid-prices, or an average for resolution in the official rules.
High-impact events include large market orders or liquidations on exchanges, major macro or crypto-specific headlines, sudden exchange or custody incidents, and rapid shifts in on-chain activity; these can produce abrupt price moves in short windows.
Use conservative position sizing, consider limit orders to control slippage, be aware of higher spreads and execution risk in short timeframes, and keep real-time news and order-book feeds open since prices can move very quickly.