| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $1,991.09 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the specified $1,991.09 price level during a 15‑minute observation window. Short‑term markets like this matter because they let traders express or hedge views on rapid price moves and intraday volatility.
Ethereum's intraday price is influenced by crypto market sentiment, macroeconomic news, and activity on exchanges and DeFi protocols. Fifteen‑minute target markets are sensitive to single large orders, funding/liquidation events, and fast‑moving news rather than multi‑day fundamentals.
Market odds reflect the collective view of participants about whether the 15‑minute condition will be met and update as new information arrives; they are a real‑time aggregator of trader expectations and risk preferences.
It indicates the market’s outcome depends on ETH price behavior during a specific 15‑minute observation window defined by the platform; the exact window start and end times and how they are chosen are specified in the market’s resolution rules.
Resolution typically uses the exchange or index price feed designated by the platform and applies the platform’s rule (e.g., trade price, midpoint, or an index) within the observation window—consult the market page or KALSHI documentation for the precise reference source and method.
This market currently lists its close time as TBD; KALSHI will publish the official close and resolution timetable on the market page or through platform notifications, so monitor the market listing for updates.
Fifteen‑minute targets are dominated by microstructure effects—single large trades, liquidity gaps, and immediate news—whereas daily or weekly markets incorporate broader fundamentals, sustained flows, and longer‑term sentiment.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the market’s resolution criteria; some contracts count any trade or quote at/above the target within the window while others require a specific timestamp or sustained pricing—check KALSHI’s stated resolution rules for this event.