| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $1,987.71 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Ether (ETH) will reach the price target of $1,987.71 at any point during a single 15-minute interval. It matters for traders who want to express a view on short-term ETH volatility and intraday price spikes.
Ethereum is a highly liquid crypto asset that often moves rapidly in response to macroeconomic data, on‑chain events, exchange flows, and derivative liquidations. Short-duration questions like a 15‑minute target capture intraday microstructure and event-driven moves rather than longer-term trends.
Market prices on the platform reflect the collective view of participants about whether that price will be hit during a 15‑minute window; prices change with incoming news, order flow, and evolving liquidity conditions.
The event page and official market rules specify the start time and the precise definition of a single 15‑minute interval; the platform uses that defined window to check whether the reference price meets the target. Check the market description on the source (KALSHI) for the exact timestamp and settlement window methodology.
The market’s settlement source is defined by the listing on the event page or the platform’s market rules; it will state which index, exchange, or aggregated feed is used to determine the reference price for settlement.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the settlement rule specified for this market (e.g., trade price, midprice, or aggregated timestamp criteria). Consult the event’s settlement definition on the platform to see what constitutes a valid hit.
Settlement occurs after the specified 15‑minute window and once the platform has applied its official reference data and rules; the event page and your account notifications on the source platform will report the final outcome and any settlement details.
High-impact macro releases, rapid shifts in risk sentiment, large exchange or OTC trades, concentrated on‑chain transfers by large holders, sudden exchange outages, or major Ethereum protocol announcements are the typical catalysts for a fast move that could hit a specific intraday price target.