| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above $600 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $610 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $620 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $630 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $640 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $650 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $660 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $670 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $680 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $690 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above $700 billion | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official Bloomberg Billionaires Index valuation of Elon Musk's net worth as of the close of business on April 30. It serves as a benchmark for assessing the market's collective expectation of his wealth based on his primary corporate holdings.
Elon Musk's net worth is primarily derived from his equity stakes in Tesla, SpaceX, and other ventures. Because these assets are subject to high market volatility and fluctuating private valuation rounds, his total net worth is highly sensitive to broader equity market sentiment and specific corporate news cycles. The Bloomberg Billionaires Index is the standard source used here to provide a consistent, daily-updated data point for tracking these fluctuations.
The market prices reflect the collective anticipation of how public equity markets and private valuation assessments will perform by the designated date.
The market exclusively uses the Bloomberg Billionaires Index valuation for Elon Musk as reported on April 30.
The outcome is based on the final data point provided by the Bloomberg Billionaires Index for that specific date.
No, the resolution relies strictly on the official calculation methodologies employed by Bloomberg at the time of the cutoff.
His wealth is heavily concentrated in equity; even small percentage shifts in Tesla's stock price translate to multibillion-dollar changes in his total net worth.
Bloomberg utilizes various financial analysis methods, including enterprise value-to-sales multiples and recent funding round disclosures, to estimate the value of private entities.