| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $0.0910695 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Dogecoin (DOGE) will reach the quoted price target of $0.0910695 within a 15-minute measurement window. Short-interval markets matter because they isolate high-frequency price moves and are sensitive to microstructure and news-driven spikes.
DOGE is a highly liquid, retail-driven cryptocurrency whose minute-to-minute price moves are influenced by exchange order flow, social media activity, and algorithmic trading. Short-duration targets like a 15-minute window capture transient events (exchange prints, low-liquidity spikes, or rapid reactions to news) that longer-term markets smooth over. Settlement conventions and the chosen price feed determine precisely how those transient movements are measured.
Market prices on this contract represent the crowd’s aggregate view about the likelihood of the target being reached under the contract’s settlement rules; they update when new information arrives and should be interpreted as market sentiment, not guarantees of outcome.
It indicates the contract assesses whether DOGE reaches the $0.0910695 level during a contiguous 15-minute period defined by the contract; check the platform’s contract text for the precise start/end and whether the window is predetermined or triggered by an event.
The event shows a close time of TBD; settlement will occur according to KALSHI’s published rules for this contract — the platform will specify the exact close timestamp, the reference price feed or exchange, and the verification process used to determine if the target was met.
The contract’s settlement details identify the authoritative data source or exchange feed; consult the contract on KALSHI to confirm which feed is used and how discrepancies or outages are handled.
Whether a momentary touch counts versus requiring a closing print depends on the market’s settlement rule—some contracts count any trade or timestamped price at or above the target during the window, others use averaged or tick-sampled prices—so review the event’s rulebook on KALSHI.
Look at high-resolution intraday data (1-minute or tick data) around similar price levels, recent episodes of rapid spikes, typical bid-ask spreads, and how DOGE responded to news in prior short windows; these patterns inform the likelihood of transient touches versus sustained moves.