| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $0.0906376 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether DOGE will hit the price target $0.0906376 during a specific 15‑minute observation window. Short, time‑boxed markets like this matter because they isolate very short‑term price moves and microstructure events rather than longer‑term fundamentals.
DOGE is a highly liquid, high‑volatility crypto asset whose minute‑to‑minute price can be driven by order‑book dynamics, exchange flows, algorithmic traders, and social or news events. Markets of this duration emphasize execution timing, feed aggregation, and exchange microstructure; settlement depends on the platform's specified price sources and timing rules. This market is listed on KALSHI and currently shows no traded volume, indicating it may be new or thinly traded.
Market odds on short windows reflect current order flow and traders' expectations about immediate price action and liquidity rather than long‑run fundamentals. Because they update continuously, interpret prices as a live consensus that can shift rapidly with new orders, news, or technical conditions.
It means the contract resolves based on whether DOGE reaches the specified price at any point during a contiguous 15‑minute observation window. The platform will publish the exact start time and timezone for that window; check the market details for the precise timing.
Settlement follows the market's published resolution rules; that typically names a specific exchange or a consolidated feed. Always review the event's resolution clause on KALSHI to see which data source and timestamping rules are used.
It indicates no trades have executed in this market so far. That usually means low liquidity and wider bid/ask spreads, so individual orders can move the market and execution risk is higher.
Generally yes if the published settlement feed shows a trade or quoted price meeting the criterion within the observation window, but the exact inclusion rules (trade vs. quote, rounding, 'at or above' wording) are defined in the market's resolution specification—check that text.
Platforms have contingency and dispute procedures for missing or unreliable data; outcomes can be delayed, determined using alternate feeds, or voided depending on the policy. Review KALSHI's resolution and contingency rules for how such situations are handled for this market.