| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $0.0898877 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Dogecoin (DOGE) will hit the specific price target $0.0898877 during a defined 15‑minute measurement period on KALSHI. Short intraday contracts like this matter because they focus on very short‑term volatility and liquidity rather than longer‑term fundamentals.
DOGE is a highly traded, retail‑centric cryptocurrency whose intraday price moves are often large relative to its price level. Fifteen‑minute windows emphasize momentary supply/demand imbalances, exchange microstructure, and algorithmic activity rather than macroeconomic fundamentals. For this reason, outcomes are frequently driven by order flow, liquidity conditions, and near‑term news or social signals.
Market prices and odds on this contract represent the aggregated views of traders and update as new information arrives; they are a real‑time consensus signal, not a guaranteed forecast. Always check the contract's official resolution rules for exact measurement and settlement details.
KALSHI will specify the start and end times or the exact timestamping method used for the 15‑minute measurement in the contract rules. The platform’s market page and official terms provide the definitive interval definition and any timezone or timestamp alignment details.
Settlement is based on the price data source named in the contract (for example, a specific exchange or consolidated index). The contract rules explain whether a single tick/trade at or above the target during the 15‑minute window constitutes a hit and how ties or ambiguous ticks are handled.
Resolution occurs when KALSHI applies the contract’s measurement and publishes the outcome. Because the market close time is listed as TBD, monitor the KALSHI market page for the announced resolution timestamp, the settlement report, and any accompanying price feed data used to determine the result.
Obtain minute‑level historical price data from exchanges or a consolidated feed, align timestamps with the resolution feed KALSHI uses, compute rolling 15‑minute maxima, and count occurrences where the price met or exceeded $0.0898877. Adjust for missing data and differences between exchanges to match the contract’s measurement method.
Rapid hits are commonly caused by large market orders or whale trades, sudden news or viral social posts, thin order books on particular exchanges, price feed discrepancies across venues, and automated strategies or liquidation chains that generate abrupt, amplified moves.