| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly -0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly -0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which month-over-month value the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) will register for October 2026; outcomes matter because the CPI m/m reading is a short-term gauge of inflation that can move markets and influence policy expectations.
CPI measures changes in prices paid by urban consumers and is published monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Monthly CPI moves are often smaller than annual rates but can signal emerging trends in shelter, energy, and services; by Oct 2026, readings will reflect the interaction of supply conditions, energy prices, and monetary policy following the preceding quarters.
Prediction market odds summarize the aggregated expectations of participants given public information; shifts in the market price reflect new data, economic releases, and changing assessments of drivers like wages and energy costs.
The market's close time is listed as TBD—settlement will be based on the official October 2026 CPI release from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics; BLS typically posts monthly CPI data in the mid-month release window, so check the BLS release calendar and this market's rules for exact settlement timing.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific discrete value or numeric range for the month-over-month change in CPI for October 2026; examine the market's outcome descriptions on the platform to see the exact bins and settlement thresholds.
This market is framed around CPI month-over-month—markets typically use the BLS-reported, seasonally adjusted headline CPI unless the market rules specify otherwise; confirm the precise series and adjustment method in the market documentation.
Use historical Oct m/m readings to gauge typical seasonality and volatility, but adjust your view for current conditions such as recent trends in energy, shelter, and wages; short-term drivers and recent monthly momentum often matter more for m/m outcomes than long-term averages.
Key movers include unexpected movements in energy prices, major Fed statements or policy moves, surprise employment or manufacturing releases, significant weather or supply disruptions, and fiscal developments; any of these can alter inflation forecasts and therefore market prices.