| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly -0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly -0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 0.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 1.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 1.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 1.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 1.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 1.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 1.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) month-over-month will be for March 2026; the monthly CPI reading is a primary short-run measure of inflation and can move interest-rate expectations, bond yields, and equity sentiment.
The CPI is compiled and published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and reports how a representative basket of consumer prices changes month to month. Recent months of 2026, supply disruptions, energy and food price swings, and labor-market dynamics are the main contextual drivers market participants will weigh ahead of the March release.
Prediction market prices aggregate participants' information and view of how likely each outcome is relative to others; they update as new data, news, or central-bank commentary arrive and should be read as a real-time consensus signal rather than a fixed forecast.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the official monthly CPI; March data are typically released in mid-April. Check the BLS release calendar for the exact publication date and time.
This market's outcomes correspond to discrete month-over-month CPI ranges or bins for March 2026 (see the event page for the exact labels). After the BLS release, the official month-over-month CPI determines which outcome resolves as the winner.
'Closes: TBD' means the market organizer has not yet set the formal trading cutoff; markets often close shortly before the official release to prevent trading on immediate leaks, so watch the event page for an announced close time.
Recent monthly prints provide momentum and signal which CPI components have been driving inflation; traders use those trends plus month-specific drivers (seasonal adjustments, energy/fuel trends) to update expectations for March.
Yes—lower total volume (as shown on the event page) typically means prices are based on fewer trades and can be more volatile or sensitive to single participants, so treat low-liquidity markets as having noisier signals.