| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks how the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September will be reported and aggregates traders' views on that official inflation reading — an important input for markets, wages, and policy decisions.
CPI is a monthly measure of changes in consumer prices published by the official statistics agency referenced in the market rules. September's reading is watched for momentum coming out of the summer and can influence monetary policy expectations and short-term market volatility. Historical patterns, seasonal adjustments, and component behavior (energy, food, shelter) all shape how traders interpret the release.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations and risk preferences of participants about which outcome will be reported; shifts in price indicate changing expectations as new data or news arrive.
The official September CPI is typically published by the national statistics agency named in the market rules (for example, the BLS for the U.S.) and is usually released in the weeks after the month ends; this market resolves based on that official published figure and on the settlement timing specified in the market description.
Each outcome corresponds to a specific reported result or range defined in the market's outcome labels (for example, particular numeric ranges or categorical descriptions); consult the market's outcome definitions and settlement rules to see the exact thresholds used for resolution.
The market's description should specify the exact series used for settlement (headline or core, month-over-month or year-over-year, and whether seasonally adjusted); if that information is not clear on the event page, check the official market rules or contact platform support before trading.
Look at producer prices, retail sales, import/export prices, energy market developments, regional price reports, major monthly household or payroll reports, and any large supply shocks — these releases and real-time indicators can materially shift expectations ahead of the CPI print.
Historical September readings provide context on seasonal patterns and component behavior but should be combined with recent month-to-month momentum and current economic developments; structural changes (for example, shifts in housing composition or energy dynamics) can reduce the predictive power of older observations.