| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 0.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which official Consumer Price Index (CPI) outcome will be reported for June; CPI readings matter because they influence purchasing power, interest-rate expectations, and financial markets.
The CPI is compiled by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and measures changes in the price of a representative basket of goods and services; markets and policymakers watch both headline CPI and core CPI (which excludes food and energy). Recent inflation cycles have highlighted the roles of energy, shelter, supply disruptions, and labor costs in driving month-to-month and year-over-year readings.
Prices in this prediction market reflect the collective expectation for which CPI category will be the official June release and will move as new data and news arrive; they are a tradable consensus, not an official forecast from the BLS or policymakers.
The contract's market rules specify the exact CPI series used for settlement; check the event page for whether it resolves to headline or core CPI and whether the measure is month-over-month or year-over-year and seasonally adjusted.
Resolution follows the official BLS publication specified in the market rules; typically the relevant June CPI figure is published by the BLS in the month after June, and the market resolves to that official reported number per the contract's timing and settlement rules.
The seven outcomes partition the range of possible official CPI readings into mutually exclusive categories or intervals; an outcome wins if the official BLS number for the specified series falls into that interval — consult the event page for the exact numeric boundaries for each outcome.
Relevant indicators include weekly and monthly energy price reports, Producer Price Index, retail sales, regional price measures, import/export price data, job and wage reports, and significant supply shocks or policy announcements that affect costs.
Low volume can mean wider spreads and larger price moves from individual trades; manage position size, be prepared for volatility, and confirm settlement terms before trading — small markets can reflect concentrated bets rather than broad consensus.