| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 2.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 2.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 2.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 2.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 2.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 2.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 2.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Exactly 3.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which year-over-year core Consumer Price Index (CPI) reading will be reported for June 2026; core CPI excludes food and energy and is a widely watched measure of underlying inflation that influences monetary policy and financial markets.
Core CPI year-over-year is reported monthly by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics and is used by economists and the Federal Reserve to gauge persistent inflation trends. The June 2026 reading will be interpreted in the context of recent inflationary dynamics, labor market conditions, housing costs, and any residual supply-chain or energy effects from prior months.
Prediction market prices aggregate participant beliefs about the distribution of possible core CPI outcomes and update as new information arrives; they are not guarantees but provide a continuously refreshed signal of market expectations. Use them alongside official data releases and economic reports to form a view.
The BLS typically publishes monthly CPI data in the month following the reference month (commonly in mid-month); this market will resolve according to the official BLS publication used by the platform, so check the market page for the exact settlement cutoff and whether the market uses the initial BLS release.
The 16 outcomes represent discrete value ranges or buckets for the reported year-over-year core CPI in June 2026; each outcome corresponds to a specific interval of the BLS-reported figure, so traders select the bucket they expect the published number to fall into.
Year-over-year compares the core CPI level for June 2026 with the core CPI level for June 2025, measuring the percent change over that 12-month span as reported by the BLS.
This market resolves to the Bureau of Labor Statistics' published core CPI series (commonly 'CPI-U, all items less food and energy') for the reference month; consult the market rules for the exact series name used for settlement.
Watch the monthly employment report (payrolls and average hourly earnings), producer price inflation (PPI), retail sales, housing and rent indicators, manufacturing and services PMIs, major oil and commodity moves, and any Fed statements or policy actions, as these can materially shift expectations for the June core CPI reading.