| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hickenlooper | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Karen Breslin | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nichole Miner | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Julie Gonzales | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which individual will be the Colorado Democratic Party’s nominee for U.S. Senate; the nominee determines the party’s general-election candidate and shapes national Senate dynamics.
The nominee is chosen through Colorado’s Democratic nomination process, which typically culminates in a statewide primary or party certification and is officially recorded by state authorities. Colorado has leaned Democratic in recent federal elections, but contested primaries, candidate recruitment, and local dynamics can create uncertainty well into the nomination period.
Market prices aggregate traders’ views about which candidate will be officially certified as the Democratic nominee and will change as news, endorsements, polling, and ballot changes occur. The market resolves to the outcome that matches the officially certified nominee under Colorado’s election and party rules.
The market’s close time is set by the platform (listed as TBD); the winning outcome is the candidate who is officially certified as the Democratic nominee under Colorado’s election and party certification process.
The four outcomes correspond to the specific candidate names (and/or an 'Other' option) shown on the market page; consult that listing for the exact names and labels used in this market.
Colorado Democrats may use party assemblies and a statewide primary and candidates qualify via assembly support or petition; the person who wins the official primary or is designated under party rules becomes the nominee and is the basis for market settlement.
Market settlement follows the officially certified nominee regardless of prior withdrawals; if a withdrawal changes who is certified or who remains on the ballot, the market resolves to the person listed as the certified nominee by Colorado authorities.
Major moves typically come from primary polling releases, large fundraising reports, high-profile endorsements, debate or campaign events, ballot-access rulings or legal challenges, and any official withdrawal or certification announcements.