| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Bennet | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Phil Weiser | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ken Salazar | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which candidate will become the Democratic nominee for Colorado governor; it matters because the nominee shapes the Democratic ticket and general election dynamics in a statewide contest.
Colorado’s gubernatorial nomination is determined through the state Democratic Party process and statewide ballots, and contests are typically influenced by the state’s shifting electorate and key local issues. Recent cycles have shown volatility when seats are open and consolidation when an incumbent seeks reelection, so candidate emergence, endorsements, and turnout patterns matter.
Market prices reflect the collective expectations of traders based on available information and update as new facts (endorsements, polls, withdrawals) arrive. They are not official results but serve as a real‑time indicator of how observers expect the Democratic nomination to play out.
The market’s listed outcomes correspond to the named candidates (and any ‘Other’ option if present). When the Colorado Democratic Party certifies its official nominee following whatever nomination pathway is used (primary, convention, or other), the outcome matching that certified nominee will be settled as the winner.
Resolution follows the market’s stated close and Kalshi’s settlement rules, which are tied to official certification of the Democratic nominee by the state party or election authorities; check the market page for the specific settlement trigger and any announced close time.
Watch candidate filing and ballot‑qualification deadlines, party convention dates (if relevant), major endorsements, televised debates, fundraising reports, and any announcements of withdrawals or late entrants, as each can materially shift expectations.
Withdrawals and new entries typically prompt rapid price adjustments as traders incorporate the new field; if a listed candidate withdraws but still appears on the ballot, settlement will follow the official nominee certification, so traders should monitor both campaign status and formal party processes.
Consider the balance between urban centers, suburban counties, and rural areas: Democratic primary strength tends to concentrate in population centers and certain suburban areas, while different regions respond differently to issues like housing, energy, and transportation—campaign organization across these areas affects nomination chances.