| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 6.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 6.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 6.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 6.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 6.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 6.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 6.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 6.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 7.0% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 7.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks what the Canada unemployment rate will be for March 2026 as published by Statistics Canada. It matters because the unemployment rate is a widely watched indicator of labour market strength and influences monetary policy, financial markets, and business decisions.
The unemployment rate for March 2026 will be reported by Statistics Canada based on the monthly Labour Force Survey, which captures employment, unemployment, and participation dynamics. Recent years have seen shifts driven by post-pandemic labor reallocation, changing participation rates, and cross‑sectoral hiring patterns; those trends provide important context for this release. Monetary policy decisions, inflation dynamics, and global trade conditions leading into March 2026 will also shape the underlying labour market.
Prediction market odds reflect the balance of expectations among traders about the official March 2026 unemployment reading and update as new information arrives. Use odds as a real‑time summary of market expectations, remembering they can move quickly around new data and policy announcements.
The official figure is published by Statistics Canada as part of its monthly Labour Force Survey release. Exact release dates and times are set by Statistics Canada; check their release calendar and the event page for timing and any announced schedule.
The market’s ten outcomes map to discrete possible published outcomes (typically ranges or specific reported buckets) for the March 2026 unemployment rate. Consult the event page for the current list of outcomes and how each is defined relative to the official Statistics Canada report.
Settlement is based on the official number and the event’s stated settlement rules; markets normally use the figure published in the initial Statistics Canada release unless the event rules specify otherwise. Review the resolution policy on the event page for details about handling of later revisions.
Advancing indicators that commonly move expectations include job vacancy reports, payroll or employment surveys, retail and manufacturing activity, GDP updates, major corporate hiring/loss announcements, and Bank of Canada commentary on labour and inflation.
Price moves reflect changing market expectations as new data or news arrives; rapid moves near the release often indicate shifting consensus or information leaks. Traders should monitor official data releases, high‑frequency indicators, and timing relative to the scheduled close, and consult the event rules for settlement timing before taking positions.