| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 1.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.4% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.5% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.6% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.7% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.8% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 2.9% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.1% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Above 3.2% | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tracks the official year-over-year Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation rate for Canada as reported for the month of March 2026. It serves as a sentiment gauge for economic forecasts regarding the success of monetary policy and long-term price stability in Canada.
The Bank of Canada targets an inflation midpoint of 2% as the anchor for its monetary policy framework. Fluctuations around this target are driven by global supply chain developments, energy prices, and domestic labor market conditions. Analysts monitor this figure closely to predict future interest rate adjustments and shifts in fiscal policy.
The outcomes represent ranges of the year-over-year percentage change in the CPI; traders are essentially betting on whether the Canadian economy will experience disinflation, stabilization, or a resurgence in price growth by the end of Q1 2026.
Statistics Canada is the authoritative source for the Consumer Price Index, which determines the official inflation rate for this event.
The market rules typically specify rounding conventions or strict range definitions to ensure one outcome is clearly triggered based on the official Statistics Canada report.
This market tracks the headline YoY inflation rate, which includes the full basket of goods and services measured by Statistics Canada.
Statistics Canada generally releases the CPI data for a given month approximately three to four weeks after the month concludes.
Markets typically settle based on the initial headline report released for the target month, rather than subsequent historical revisions.