| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toni Atkins | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kyle Langford | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Xavier Becerra | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rick Caruso | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Chad Bianco | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Antonio Villaraigosa | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Stephen Cloobeck | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Steve Hilton | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Eleni Kounalakis | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Daniel Mercuri | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Katie Porter | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tony Thurmond | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Butch Ware | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Betty Yee | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Michael Younger | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Leo Zacky | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Nicole Shanahan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Alex Padilla | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Kamala Harris | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Tom Steyer | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Eric Swalwell | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ethan Agarwal | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Rob Bonta | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Ché Ahn | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
| Matt Mahan | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks which person will be the eventual Governor of California; it matters because the governor sets state policy on issues like housing, public safety, and the environment and can influence national politics.
California gubernatorial contests are shaped by the state's large, diverse electorate, the top-two primary system, incumbency and term limits, and regional turnout differences between urban and rural areas. Key state issues such as housing affordability, wildfire and climate response, public safety, and the economy often dominate campaigns and voter decision-making.
Market prices aggregate participants' expectations about who will win and update as new information arrives; use them as a dynamic indicator of collective beliefs rather than a fixed prediction.
The market resolves to the individual who is officially recognized as the Governor of California under the market's stated resolution rules—typically the person certified by the California Secretary of State following the relevant election or legal process. If the market description specifies a different trigger, that specification governs resolution.
You should consult the market description and rules for scope; many 'winner' markets refer to the general election outcome, but some markets can be tied to primaries, special elections, or other defined events—resolution depends on the market's stated definition.
Each outcome corresponds to a named candidate or an explicitly listed option on the market; organizers often include major contenders plus minor candidates or 'other' options to capture the full set of plausible winners as specified when the market was created.
Recounts or litigation can delay the official certification of a winner; the market will resolve according to its rules based on the official, certified result, so resolution timing can be postponed until legal processes conclude.
Statewide and regional polling releases, late-breaking endorsements, fundraising/advertising surges, major debate performances or scandals, shifts in turnout models, and significant state events (e.g., emergencies that affect voter attention) are the most common catalysts for rapid price movement.