| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,699.98 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will reach a spot price of $71,699.98 within a specified 15‑minute measurement window. Short-duration threshold markets matter because they let traders express views on immediate price moves driven by microstructure events or breaking news.
15‑minute target markets are common in crypto because Bitcoin can move quickly in response to order‑flow, large trades, derivatives expiries, or news. Resolution will rely on the price feed and rules specified by the exchange (KALSHI) rather than the continuously updating spot price you see on exchanges. Note that this listing currently shows $0 volume and a close time labeled 'TBD', so the schedule and liquidity should be confirmed before trading.
Market odds represent the real‑time consensus about the likelihood of the target being hit during the 15‑minute window; they update as participants trade and new information arrives. Use them as a market signal, not a guarantee—always check the market's resolution details and liquidity before acting.
The market will resolve according to the specific settlement rule and price source defined by KALSHI for this listing; typically that means the official index/feed must record BTC at or above the target during the designated 15‑minute measurement window. Consult the market's resolution rules for the exact comparison operator and feed.
A precise start and end time for the 15‑minute window will be posted on the market page or in KALSHI's event details once the listing's schedule is finalized. Until KALSHI sets the window, there is no definitive timing for resolution.
Resolution uses the price feed or index explicitly named in the market's settlement details on KALSHI. Check the market rules for the exact exchange(s) or consolidated index the platform will rely on.
KALSHI's contingency and arbitration procedures govern such cases; common outcomes include using an alternate specified feed, a delayed timestamp, or invoking cancellation/void rules if reliable data is unavailable. Review KALSHI's dispute and fallback policies for specifics.
Zero volume means no trades have occurred yet and liquidity may be low; 'Number of outcomes: 1' indicates the market structure is defined by the listing (confirm whether it's binary or uses another payoff format). Low initial liquidity can lead to wide spreads and greater execution risk, so verify structure and schedule before placing significant orders.