| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,582.85 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will reach the specific price target of $71,582.85 as evaluated on a 15-minute observation cadence. It matters because short-interval, fixed-price markets capture intraday volatility and offer a way to hedge or speculate on micro price movements.
Bitcoin is known for rapid intraday swings driven by liquidity, algorithmic trading, macro headlines, and on-chain flows; a 15-minute target emphasizes those short-term drivers. The market is listed on KALSHI and currently shows no traded volume, and the close time is TBD — check the event page for official timing and any updates. Traders should note that settlement mechanics depend on the platform's specified reference price and observation rules.
Market odds on this event reflect how participants are pricing the chance that the specified price condition will be met at the designated 15-minute observation(s) and will update as new information arrives. Use the odds as a real-time gauge of market sentiment, but combine them with independent analysis of price action and liquidity.
The target is the exact price level the market will reference at the specified 15-minute observation(s); the event page and KALSHI's settlement rules list the official data feed and the exact measurement method used to determine whether the condition is met.
'15 min' indicates the market evaluates price on a 15-minute cadence or window; the event details specify whether settlement uses a single timestamp, the high/low within that 15-minute interval, or another defined approach, so consult the market's settlement specification.
Close time is listed as TBD, which means you should monitor the event page for updates; the closing time determines the last moment you can trade before the final observation period is locked for settlement.
KALSHI will identify the reference exchange(s) or index in the market's settlement details; if multiple sources are used, the platform explains the aggregation or prioritization method — always check those specifics before trading.
The platform's contingency rules govern such cases: they may use backup feeds, delay settlement, or invoke manual adjudication per the event's dispute procedures. Review KALSHI's emergency and dispute policies for the exact remedies.