| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,467.66 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will meet the $71,467.66 price target during a specified 15‑minute observation period; it matters because short intraday price‑target markets let traders express views on immediate volatility and microstructure risk.
Bitcoin is a high‑volatility asset whose minute‑to‑minute price can be driven by order‑book dynamics, large transfers, derivatives activity, and news. Fifteen‑minute target markets capture brief price dislocations that longer‑horizon markets smooth out and can highlight exchange‑level liquidity and index‑construction effects. Because settlement depends on a short window, the market can be sensitive to data feed selection and timestamping.
Market odds and prices reflect the consensus view of traders about the chance this target will be met during the defined 15‑minute window and will change in real time; use them alongside knowledge of settlement mechanics and underlying liquidity rather than as definitive forecasts.
Settlement is based on the reference price measured over the event's designated 15‑minute observation window as defined in the event rules; consult the event page or Kalshi's rulebook to see whether resolution uses a high, low, last trade, or index average and the exact timestamping convention.
Kalshi will publish the precise observation window and closing time on the market page once set; monitor the listing, subscribe to notifications, or check the platform's calendar and event details for the confirmed timestamps.
The market's settlement details specify the underlying price feed or index provider (for example an exchange composite or a specific exchange); check the event page to identify the data sources and any aggregation or dissemination rules used for settlement.
That depends on the market's resolution convention—some contracts resolve on any intra‑window touch, while others require the final or averaged price to meet the threshold; review the market's resolution criteria to determine how momentary touches are treated.
Settlement timing and payout mechanics follow Kalshi's documented procedures: the platform waits for the designated data feed's published figure, may perform verification, and then executes payouts per the market rules; consult Kalshi's settlement policy for expected timeframes, verification steps, and dispute processes.