| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,330.47 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will hit the $71,330.47 target during a specified 15-minute interval on KALSHI, making it a short-term, time-bound bet on intraday price action. It matters because traders use such granular targets to hedge, speculate on volatility, or express views about immediate market momentum.
Bitcoin is highly liquid but also prone to rapid intra-hour moves driven by order flow, derivatives activity, and headline news; 15-minute windows capture these micro-structure dynamics rather than longer-term trends. Short-duration targets like this are sensitive to exchange-level liquidity, large limit or market orders, and automated trading strategies. Settlement depends on the reference price feed and the event's specific resolution language provided by KALSHI.
Market odds on this contract reflect current market sentiment and liquidity for this exact 15-minute target and should be treated as a snapshot that can shift quickly as new trades or information arrive.
Resolution follows KALSHI's settlement rules and the event's specific resolution text: it will depend on whether the designated reference price reaches the target during the stated 15-minute interval as reported by the official feed. Consult the event page's 'How this market resolves' section for the precise operator and data source.
The interval start time and market close are set by KALSHI and will be shown on the event page; because the event currently lists 'Closes: TBD', check the event details for the definitive UTC timestamp and any updates from the issuer.
A single-outcome listing indicates one condition governs payout: if that condition is met per the settlement rules the contract pays according to the stated payout schedule, otherwise it does not; review the contract's payout mechanics on the event page.
Zero traded volume means no prior market activity for this contract, which usually implies low liquidity, wider spreads, and greater price impact for any new trade; exercise caution and review order book depth before entering a position.
High-impact triggers include large exchange market orders or liquidations, sudden macro or regulatory headlines, concentrated options/futures expiry flows, and algorithmic trading that reacts to short-term momentum; monitoring order books and scheduled events around the interval helps identify likely catalysts.