| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,318.95 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's reference price will meet the $71,318.95 target within a specified 15-minute interval. It matters because short-interval price targets test intraday volatility and market microstructure, and can be used to hedge or express views on immediate price moves.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose price can move sharply on macro news, exchange flows, or large orders. Fifteen-minute target markets focus attention on very short-term drivers — order book dynamics, index construction, and minute-level data — rather than longer-term fundamentals. The market uses KALSHI's event framework and resolves according to the exchange's stated settlement rules.
Market prices reflect the collective view of participants about whether the target will be met in the specified 15-minute interval and will update as new information arrives. Always consult the market's rulebook and the stated price source to interpret quotes and potential settlement.
The interval is the specific 15-minute block used by the market's settlement rules; the exact start and end timestamps and time zone are specified in the market details on KALSHI and determine which minute-level prices are considered.
Resolution depends on the contract's definition in its rulebook — it will state whether the reference price must touch, exceed, or equal the target during the interval and which price field (trade price, mid-price, or index) is used; check the event description on KALSHI for the precise condition.
The market uses the price source named in its settlement terms; that is typically a composite index or a specific exchange feed listed on KALSHI, so consult the market's metadata to see which venues and aggregation method are used.
The close time is set and displayed on the KALSHI market page as soon as it is scheduled; if it is currently TBD, monitor the market page and official platform notifications for the announced close and any changes.
Settlement will still follow the specified reference price regardless of platform volume, but low on-platform liquidity can mean wider spreads and greater sensitivity of market prices to incoming trades; review the price source and consider off-platform liquidity conditions when assessing risk.