| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,259.93 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin (BTC) will reach the $71,259.93 price level within a specified 15-minute measurement window; it matters because short-window targets capture intraday volatility and are useful for traders who want exposure to near-term price jumps or intraday risk events.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset that can move significantly over minutes in response to order flow, macro headlines, or concentrated trading activity. Markets that settle on short time windows are common tools for expressing views on immediate price action and for hedging event-driven risks. The event is listed on KALSHI and the official settlement timetable and data-source details will be published on the event page; currently the market's close time is TBD.
Prediction market odds for this event reflect the aggregated views and active orders of participants about the chance of the target being met during the 15-minute window; those odds change in real time as new information and trades arrive and should be interpreted as a live market consensus rather than a fixed forecast.
It means the market will settle based on whether BTC reaches the $71,259.93 level within a defined 15-minute window. The precise start and end timestamps, and whether settlement uses a single exchange, a composite index, or a specific quoting method, are specified in the market's settlement details on the KALSHI event page.
KALSHI will publish the scheduled measurement start time and any timetable updates on the event page or via official market notices; because the close time is currently TBD, monitor the event page for the confirmed start timestamp before assuming any measurement window is active.
The market uses the reference price source named in the event's settlement rules on KALSHI (it may be a specific exchange feed or a composite index). Consult the event description and settlement documentation to see the authoritative data source and how cross-exchange differences are handled.
Concentrated flows such as futures/option expiries, large ETF or exchange flows, and sizable market orders can create rapid price moves or spikes in intraday volatility, making short 15-minute targets more likely to be met or missed depending on the direction and timing of those flows.
If the target is met multiple times, settlement follows the market's explicit rule (for example, whether any trade within the window qualifies or whether an end-of-window reference is used); if data gaps or outages occur, KALSHI's contingency and dispute procedures—described in the settlement rules—will determine alternate sources, adjustments, or postponement.