| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,256.12 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will meet the $71,256.12 target in a 15-minute measurement window as defined by the contract. It matters because it offers a way to express or hedge short-term views on BTC intraday moves.
Bitcoin is highly liquid and volatile on short timescales; minute-to-minute price action can be driven by exchange order flow, derivatives activity, and breaking news. Resolution depends on the platform's specified price feed and timestamp, and the market currently shows no trades and a close time listed as TBD.
Market prices reflect traders' aggregated expectations about the event as of each moment but are not guarantees of the outcome. Odds and liquidity can change rapidly as new information or trades arrive.
Outcome is determined by the contract’s resolution rules using the designated price feed at the specified 15-minute observation; the exact timestamp and resolution methodology are set on the KALSHI contract page.
'15 min' indicates the contract uses a 15-minute measurement period or a price observation tied to a 15-minute interval — consult the event’s official rules for whether it uses a single timestamp within that interval or an aggregated/average price.
It indicates the contract has a single target outcome defined (the $71,256.12 target) rather than multiple discrete scenarios; check the event description to see whether that outcome is binary (hit/not hit) or resolved in another format.
High-volume orders, block trades, liquidations from leveraged positions, and rapid arbitrage between venues can move the market briefly to or through the target price within the 15-minute window, affecting whether the contract condition is met.
'Total Volume Traded: $0' means no trades have been recorded on this contract yet, which can mean low liquidity and potentially volatile prices when trading begins; 'Closes: TBD' means the platform has not yet set the final trading cutoff—monitor the official KALSHI listing for updates and the full contract terms before trading.