| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,217.25 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will hit the price target $71,217.25 during a specific 15-minute interval; short-term price windows matter to traders who trade on microstructure and news-driven moves. It matters because brief, large moves can settle binary-style markets and reflect immediate market expectations.
Bitcoin is highly liquid but also prone to sharp intraday moves driven by macro headlines, exchange flow, and algorithmic trading, so 15-minute windows can capture transient spikes that longer horizons smooth out. Markets like this are often used by traders to express views on immediate volatility or to hedge against short, event-driven price moves. Because the market currently shows zero traded volume and a TBD close, available pricing and settlement details may be incomplete until the platform posts official timestamps and data sources.
Prediction market prices encode traders' collective views and the cost to take a position, updating as new information arrives; interpret them as a real-time summary of market sentiment for this exact 15-minute target. Always cross-check the platform's settlement rules to understand what price action would actually determine the outcome.
It identifies a market that resolves based on whether Bitcoin's official settlement price reaches the $71,217.25 level at any time during a defined 15-minute interval; check the market page for the exact resolution condition and whether the requirement is 'at or above', a trade print, or another rule.
The platform will publish the start and end timestamps and any rollover details on the market page; because this listing currently shows TBD, monitor the KALSHI market page or announcements for the official schedule and any changes to the settlement window.
Outcome determination follows KALSHI's published settlement methodology for this market; that documentation will state the exact price feed (specific exchange, aggregated index, or trade prints), the timestamping rule, and whether a single trade at or above the target suffices—consult the market rules before trading.
Zero traded volume means no positions have been taken yet, which typically implies lower liquidity and potentially wider spreads or more price volatility in the market price; early quotes may change quickly as participants enter or exit positions once the schedule is set.
Whether a very brief touch counts depends on the market's settlement rules—some markets accept any qualifying trade print or quoted price within the interval, while others require a trade on a specific feed—so review the event-specific resolution criteria to know how fleeting price touches are handled.