| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,206.00 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will hit a specified price level within a defined 15-minute measurement window; it matters because short-interval target markets test intraday price dynamics and liquidity. Traders use these markets to express views on very near-term moves in BTC around a concrete price level.
Bitcoin is subject to high intraday volatility driven by macro headlines, derivatives flows, and large on-chain movements; short-interval markets like this one capture that volatility over very narrow timeframes. This particular listing currently shows no traded volume and has a close time listed as TBD on the platform, so participants should monitor the market page for the official schedule and settlement rules.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations of traders and update in real time as new information arrives; treat them as a market-implied summary of current views rather than a guaranteed prediction. Because this is a short-interval target, odds can move quickly in response to news, liquidity events, or large orders.
It refers to the specific 15-minute measurement window the market uses to determine whether the BTC price meets the stated target; the market’s rule page defines how that 15-minute interval is chosen (for example, a fixed interval ending at a timestamp) and how the price is observed within it.
Settlement depends on whether the BTC price satisfies the market’s defined condition relative to $71,206.00 during the specified 15-minute window; consult the event’s settlement rules on the platform for the precise condition (e.g., whether the target must be touched, exceeded, or equalized at checkpoints).
The posted close time for this market is currently TBD; KALSHI will display the official close and the timing of the 15-minute measurement on the event page, and settlement typically occurs after the measurement window has passed and the platform confirms the reference price.
The event’s rule text on the platform specifies the authoritative price source (a specific exchange index or consolidated feed) used for settlement; check the market details to see which feed KALSHI will use for this listing.
Yes—previous 1–15 minute BTC target markets frequently resolved based on rapid intraday swings and liquidity events rather than slow trends; they demonstrate that short windows are especially sensitive to news, large orders, and exchange-specific liquidity conditions, so outcomes can flip quickly near settlement.