| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,174.89 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will trade at or above $71,174.89 during a specified 15-minute interval. Short-window targets matter because they capture immediate order-flow and news-driven moves that larger timeframes can miss.
Bitcoin is known for rapid intraday volatility, and 15-minute markets emphasize tick-level behavior, cross-exchange arbitrage, and liquidity dynamics. The market is listed on KALSHI and currently shows total volume traded of $0, which can affect early pricing and liquidity.
Market odds reflect the crowd’s evolving view of whether that short 15-minute condition will be met and update in real time as traders take positions. Use odds as a live signal alongside the market’s settlement rules and live price feeds.
The market typically resolves 'Yes' if the reference Bitcoin price meets or exceeds $71,174.89 during the designated 15-minute interval according to the event's settlement rules; confirm the precise phrasing and reference source on the KALSHI event page.
Settlement uses the reference exchange(s) or price feed named in the market description; check the event page for the specific oracle, aggregation method, and any rules for handling missing or conflicting quotes.
The scheduled start/end times and final close are listed on the event page; because the market currently shows 'Closes: TBD', monitor the KALSHI listing for the announced interval and closure details.
Low traded volume means quoted prices can move sharply on small orders and spreads may be wide, so early prices may not reflect broad consensus and execution risk is higher until liquidity grows.
Large spot traders, derivatives liquidations or expiries, market makers, and HFT/arbitrage bots are the primary actors; on very short timeframes, a few large orders or algorithmic strategies can determine whether the tick hits the target.