| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,155.75 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will reach the price level $71,155.75 within a specific 15‑minute measurement window. It matters because short, predefined windows capture intraday liquidity and event-driven moves that differ from longer‑term trends.
Bitcoin is a globally traded, highly liquid but volatile asset; minute‑level price targets can be driven by order flow, leverage, and sudden news. Short‑interval contracts historically react to macroeconomic releases, large institutional flows, exchange technical issues, and crypto‑specific announcements. Traders and hedgers use these contracts to express views or manage risk around concentrated time windows.
Odds in this market reflect the aggregated expectations of participants about whether the target will be met during the defined 15‑minute interval and will update as new information arrives. Treat them as a real‑time consensus signal, not a guaranteed outcome.
Resolution depends on the event's settlement rules on KALSHI: the contract will be settled according to the defined 15‑minute measurement method and price source(s) specified in the event description—consult that text for the authoritative rule.
'15 min' indicates the outcome is based on price behavior during a specific 15‑minute block (not a daily close); check the event text to see whether the contract looks at any trade, an average, or a single timestamp inside that block.
Whether equality counts depends on the precise wording of the outcome (for example '>=', '>', or 'at or above'); review the event's outcome definition on KALSHI to see which comparison is used.
The event description will list the price feed(s) or index used for settlement; common approaches use a consolidated index or specific major exchanges—always check the settlement section for the exact source.
Large market orders or block trades, sudden macro or crypto news, exchange outages or trading halts, and concentrated leverage/liquidations can all move the market quickly and change how participants price the contract in the minutes before resolution.