| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,071.64 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's USD price will reach $71,071.64 within a single 15-minute interval on the KALSHI platform; it matters because short-duration spikes reveal intraday risk and trading opportunities.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose intraday price behavior reflects macro news, exchange flows, and derivatives activity. Short 15-minute highs can result from concentrated order flow, liquidations, or sudden news, and markets like this let traders express views on those brief outcomes.
Market prices on this event represent the crowd's assessment of the chance that BTC will hit the specified level during one 15-minute interval; watching how prices move over time shows how new information affects that assessment.
It refers to a single 15-minute interval as defined by KALSHI's resolution rules; the platform will specify how those intervals are timestamped and aligned to market data.
Settlement depends on KALSHI's chosen reference price feed and rule set — typically the event resolves if the reference price meets or exceeds the target within the specified 15-minute window per KALSHI's criteria.
'Closes: TBD' means KALSHI has not yet announced the trading cutoff; monitor the event page and platform notices for the official close time and any changes.
KALSHI will publish its designated reference exchange(s) or aggregated feed and any tie-breaking procedures on the event page; verify that source before trading to understand the settlement basis.
Significant 15-minute moves occur periodically and cluster around catalysts such as major news, large trades, or liquidation cascades; their frequency depends on current volatility and market liquidity.