| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,069.59 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's spot price will reach the target price of $71,069.59 at any point during a specific 15-minute interval. It matters for traders who want to express views on very short-term price moves and intraday volatility.
Bitcoin is a highly traded and often volatile asset, so price movement over a 15-minute window can be driven by market microstructure as much as broader fundamentals. Intraminute targets are sensitive to liquidity, order flow, exchange-specific pricing, and breaking news, and resolution depends on the price source and rules defined by the market operator.
Market odds aggregate participants' views about whether the target will be hit during the defined interval and update in real time; they are a dynamic signal, not a certainty. Always consult the event's official rules for how the outcome is determined and settled.
The event resolves 'Yes' if the official reference price used for settlement equals or exceeds $71,069.59 at any point during the defined 15-minute interval, per the market's resolution rules.
The precise start and end times for the 15-minute window and the market close/settlement schedule are specified on the event page; because this listing shows 'Closes: TBD', you should monitor the event page for the final schedule and any updates.
Settlement uses the price source and aggregation method defined by the market operator (KALSHI); the event page and rulebook list the exact exchanges and index or feed used for resolution.
The market operator's resolution policy addresses outages and anomalies and may use fallback feeds, data cleaning rules, or extended procedures; consult the official resolution policy for the event for the exact steps.
Because the window is short, a single large order, block trade, or breaking headline can produce a rapid spike or crash that causes the target to be hit or missed; liquidity at the time and where orders execute are critical to those outcomes.