| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,067.31 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market concerns whether Bitcoin (BTC) will reach the specified price target of $71,067.31 within a defined 15-minute measurement window. It matters because short-duration price moves capture intraday volatility and can reflect immediate market reactions to news, liquidity events, or technical flows.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset that frequently exhibits rapid intraday moves driven by macro data, exchange order flow, derivative liquidations, and on‑chain transfers. Markets that resolve over 15 minutes are designed to isolate very short-term price dynamics and are sensitive to minute-by-minute execution and feed differences. Traders use these contracts to express views on immediate catalysts or hedge exposure to sudden spikes or drops.
Market odds on this contract represent the real-time consensus of traders and adjust as new information arrives; interpret them as a snapshot of market sentiment, keeping in mind that low volume or thin liquidity can make odds less robust.
The contract's rule text defines the measurement: it will state whether the market uses a specific 15-minute candle, a rolling 15-minute window, the timestamp convention (UTC/local), and whether it looks at trades or quoted prices—consult the event page for those exact details.
The market listing specifies the official reference price source (for example, an index or one or more exchanges). Always check the event page's resolution criteria to see which feed is used for settlement.
It indicates the market is built around a single resolution result; you should check the market description to learn whether that single outcome is evaluated as a binary yes/no (target met vs not met) or as a single scalar payout mechanism.
Whether a momentary touch resolves the market depends on the contract's resolution rules—some contracts count any recorded trade/quote at or above the target during the window, others require a trade or a sustained candle. Verify the exact resolution conditions on the event page.
The market currently lists the close time as TBD; once a close time is set it will appear on the event page. After the measurement window and any verification period, the official outcome and settlement information will be published on the market page and in settlement notices.