| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $71,045.77 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will reach the specified price level of $71,045.77 during a single 15-minute measurement window. Short, precise targets like this matter because they capture rapid intraday moves that affect traders, hedgers, and volatility-sensitive strategies.
Bitcoin is a high-volatility asset that can move sharply on macro announcements, exchange-specific order flow, derivatives liquidations, and on-chain activity. Short windows frequently capture transient spikes or dips that do not persist to longer timeframes, so outcomes hinge on minute-level market microstructure as well as broader news. The event’s official terms (price source, timestamp rules, and settlement method) determine how those moves are measured.
Market prices on this contract reflect real-time collective judgment about whether the target will be met during the stated 15-minute window; they update as new information arrives. Treat the market price as a dynamic signal, not a fixed forecast—odds will change with liquidity, news, and intraday order flow.
The contract settles using the price source specified in this event’s official terms on KALSHI; check the event details for the designated exchange or index and any aggregated feed used for settlement.
The start and end timestamps for the 15-minute measurement are defined in the event terms; consult the event page to see the exact clock (timezone, timestamp convention) and any rules about aligning to minute boundaries.
Settlement procedures in the event terms specify whether a single crossing counts, whether the last traded price or a time-weighted index is used, and how multiple crossings are handled—review those rules for tie-breaking and granularity.
A current volume of $0 indicates no reported trades yet on this contract; low volume can mean wider spreads and greater execution impact, so traders should be cautious about liquidity and price slippage and monitor volume as it can change quickly with news.
Track the live spot price from the settlement-designated source, order-book depth on that exchange, derivatives open interest and liquidation alerts, real-time news feeds, and on-chain flows—use the exact timestamp conventions from the event terms when comparing external data.