| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,998.44 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's spot price will reach $70,998.44 within a specific 15-minute observation window. Short-duration targets test intraday volatility and are relevant for traders focused on immediate price action.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but frequently volatile asset whose price can move sharply on short notice due to order flow, macro headlines, derivatives activity, and concentrated on-chain transfers. Markets that use very short windows capture microstructure events (liquidations, sudden flows, exchange outages) that longer-term markets smooth out.
Odds on this market represent the real-time market consensus about the likelihood of the target event during that 15-minute window; they change as information arrives and are not guarantees of outcome. Always check the market's resolution rules to see which price feed and timing convention determine settlement.
Resolution depends on the market's published rules; typically a 'Yes' requires the official settlement price feed to be at or above $70,998.44 at the measured time(s) during the defined 15-minute observation period. Consult the event page for the precise touch vs. sampling rule used for this market.
The market page will list the start time and time zone for the 15-minute window; if the start time is marked TBD, the window will not be defined until the organizer posts it. Always verify the timestamp and time zone on the event page before trading.
The event's resolution details specify the price feed (for example, a named exchange ticker or an aggregated index). Check the event page or the platform's rulebook to see which source is authoritative for settlement.
That outcome depends on the settlement methodology: some markets count any tick that reaches the target during the window, while others use specific sampling times or published index values and would not count a fleeting touch. Review the event's resolution criteria to know which case applies.
Short windows magnify the effects of spreads, slippage, and isolated price spikes. Traders should check the depth and typical spread of the settlement feed, be cautious about one-off spikes from thin order books, and factor in the higher probability of sudden moves when sizing positions.