| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,943.03 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will hit the $70,943.03 level within a specified 15-minute measurement window; traders buy or sell the single outcome to express short-term views. Short, timebound targets matter because they isolate minute-level volatility and the immediate impact of news or large trades.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose minute-by-minute price can be driven by order‑book moves, derivatives activity, and breaking headlines. Fifteen‑minute targets are used by traders to capture transient moves that longer horizons smooth out; similar short-window markets have historically responded sharply to exchange-level liquidity shifts and major market orders. This market will resolve using the exchange/index and timing rules specified by the platform.
Market odds reflect the aggregated view of participants about whether the target will be reached during the 15-minute window and will move as new information or order flow arrives. Always check the platform’s stated reference price and resolution rules to interpret the quoted price correctly.
Resolution is determined by the platform’s stated reference price and the defined 15-minute measurement window; the outcome depends on whether that official reference price reaches the specified level within the window per KALSHI’s resolution rules.
The window start time and market close are listed on the platform and are currently TBD for this event; monitor the event page or platform announcements for the exact scheduled start and closing times.
Shallow liquidity and wide spreads make it easier for a single large order to move the price to the target, while deep books and high limit-order interest make abrupt moves less likely; minute-level liquidity conditions are therefore central to this short-window outcome.
The event will resolve using the platform’s official reference price/data feed specified in the event rules; check the event details to see which exchange(s) and index are used, since different feeds can show different ticks at high frequency.
Whether a brief touch counts depends on the platform’s resolution criteria (for example, whether any timestamped trade or quote at or above the level within the window qualifies); consult the event’s resolution rules on the platform for the definitive answer.