| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,883.06 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's spot price will reach $70,883.06 within a defined 15-minute measurement window. It matters because short-interval targets capture high-frequency price moves and reflect near-term market sentiment.
Bitcoin trades continuously across many venues and can move sharply within minutes due to order flow, news, or derivatives activity; 15-minute targets focus on intra-day microstructure rather than multi-day trends. Short-window event markets are sensitive to exchange feeds, aggregation rules, and isolated large trades that can produce rapid hits or transient ticks. This specific listing currently shows a single outcome and a closing time listed as TBD, so settlement mechanics and timing should be confirmed on the platform.
Market odds on this event reflect traders' real-time expectations about whether the target will be met during the specified 15-minute window and will update as new information arrives. Treat odds as a live measure of sentiment and liquidity, not an absolute prediction.
The precise definition (start and end timestamps or alignment rules) will be specified in the event’s official rules on KALSHI; traders should consult that document to know which exact 15-minute interval will be used for settlement.
KALSHI will specify the data sources and any aggregation or weighting method used for settlement on the event page; check the event rules to see which exchanges or consolidated feeds are authoritative for this market.
The settlement criteria (whether any trade/tick at or above the target qualifies or whether a closing/averaged price is required) are defined in the event’s settlement rules posted by KALSHI; review those rules for the exact requirement.
The event currently lists the close time as TBD; KALSHI will publish the official close time before the market stops accepting trades, and platform notifications or the event page will provide that update.
Zero reported volume means no trades have been executed yet, which can indicate limited liquidity; low early volume can lead to wider spreads and greater sensitivity of market-implied prices to new orders, so confirm available liquidity before placing large positions.