| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,881.05 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will reach the price target of $70,881.05 within a specified 15‑minute interval; it matters because short, discrete price targets can be triggered by rapid moves and are used by traders to express views on near‑term volatility.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset; intraday and intraminute price swings are common due to order flow, liquidations, macro headlines, and concentrated large trades. Markets that resolve on short windows rely on a specific reference price feed and settlement method, so historical intraday behavior and recent volatility trends are relevant context.
Market prices here reflect how participants are valuing the likelihood of the target being hit given available information and liquidity; they update as new data, news, or order flow arrives, so watch the market and the underlying price feed closely for changes.
Resolution depends on the market's posted rules and the chosen reference price feed; typically the market will specify a precise 15‑minute window and the outcome is determined by whether the reference price reaches or trades through $70,881.05 during that window. Check the event page or KALSHI's official contract terms for the definitive resolution method and scheduled resolution time.
A close time is set by the market creator and published on the event page once finalized; the 15‑minute window will be defined in those details (start and end timestamps). Monitor the event page for the announced close and the exact timing of the observation window.
The market will use the reference feed or set of exchanges specified in its settlement rules; that information appears on the market listing or in the platform's documentation. Because feeds differ, verify the listed sources so you know which venue's price movements matter for resolution.
Events include large single‑exchange market orders, cascade liquidations in futures markets, sudden macro news or announcements, ETF or institutional flows, and periods of thin liquidity or exchange outages that magnify price moves.
Zero volume means there have been no trades yet, which can signal low liquidity or that the market is new; a single outcome listing may indicate a single target outcome is being tracked (see contract details). Low pre‑trade liquidity can result in wide spreads and higher execution risk, so review market rules and liquidity before participating.