| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,837.84 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will hit the specific price target of $70,837.84 during a defined 15-minute measurement window. It matters because it lets traders express short-term views on BTC micro-moves and react to rapid changes in liquidity or news.
Fifteen-minute contracts focus on intraday microstructure: exchange order flow, derivatives liquidations, and discrete news events can move price rapidly over a single 15-minute interval. Because the contract measures a very short timespan, typical drivers differ from multi-day moves and include exchange-specific spreads, market-maker activity, and immediate reactions to macro or crypto-specific announcements.
Market odds on this page represent the trading market’s consensus sentiment about that exact 15-minute outcome and update as new information and orders arrive. Interpret them as a real-time market view of short-term price action rather than a long-term forecast; low trading volume can make odds less reliable until liquidity builds.
Settlement depends on the market’s official rules: typically the contract is settled using the platform’s specified price source and a defined 15-minute timestamp or candle. Confirm the precise settlement definition (e.g., whether the high during the interval counts) in the market’s rulebook on KALSHI.
A close time hasn’t been posted yet; the platform will publish the contract’s start/close timestamps before trading or at launch. Monitor the KALSHI market page for the official schedule and any updates about the measurement window.
The specific index or exchange feed used for settlement is defined by the market’s documentation on KALSHI. Check the contract details for the named data source and any tie-breaking or averaging methodology.
Whether a brief touch qualifies depends on the settlement rule (e.g., whether settlement uses the interval high, an averaged price, or a snapshot). Review the market’s settlement criteria to learn whether momentary ticks count.
Zero volume means no trades have yet established consensus pricing; initial fills may move the displayed odds materially. Low or no volume implies wider execution risk and that displayed market prices may not reflect broad participant views until liquidity increases.