| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,833.07 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin (BTC) will reach the specified $70,833.07 target within a defined 15-minute measurement period. It matters because short, time-bound BTC targets test intraday liquidity and trader expectations about near-term price moves.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose price can move sharply in very short timeframes due to large orders, liquidations, or breaking news. Intraday micro-target markets like this capture a snapshot of market belief about a specific short window rather than longer-term fundamentals. Macro events, exchange outages, or concentrated trading activity can be decisive during a 15-minute window.
Odds in this market represent the crowd’s current consensus about the likelihood of BTC hitting the $70,833.07 level during the specified 15-minute interval and will update as new information arrives. Treat market prices as real-time indicators, not guarantees; they aggregate available information and sentiment about the short window in question.
The outcome depends on whether the event’s official BTC price observation, as defined by the event’s resolution rules, meets the market’s target within the specified 15-minute measurement period; consult the event page for the definitive rule and price source.
The event’s close and the precise 15-minute measurement window are determined by the listing’s resolution schedule on KALSHI; check the event details on the platform for the exact start and end timestamps and any time zone information.
The event page should specify the official price source(s) and methodology used for settlement; if it is not listed there, contact KALSHI support or review the market rules for the authoritative feed and tie-breaking procedures.
A $0 volume reading indicates no trades have executed yet on this market; it may be newly listed or illiquid—volume can change quickly, and low prior volume typically implies wider spreads and higher execution risk.
Short windows are most influenced by large exchange orders or block trades, cascading derivatives liquidations, sudden news releases, and algorithmic trading that exploits microstructure; exchange outages or data-feed anomalies can also create or obscure short-lived price moves.