| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,812.64 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will reach the specific price target of $70,812.64 during a single 15-minute trading interval; it matters because short intraday moves can be driven by liquidity and news and are relevant to traders who focus on fine-grained price action.
This event is a short-interval, price-target contract listed on KALSHI; because the listed close time is TBD, the exact resolution window and oracle source are key to determining outcome. Markets of this type capture very short-term volatility rather than longer-term trends, and initial volume may be low until participants see the scheduled interval and settlement rules.
Odds on this market reflect how participants collectively price the likelihood of Bitcoin touching the target within the specified 15-minute window and can change rapidly as new orders, news, or price data arrive; consult the contract page for the official settlement mechanism and data source.
The outcome depends on whether the event’s official price source records Bitcoin reaching the specified price within the contract’s defined 15-minute interval; check the event’s settlement rules on KALSHI for the precise resolution criteria (e.g., whether touch, trade, or midpoint qualifies).
Settlement uses the specific oracle or exchange feed named in the event details on KALSHI; because different feeds can show different ticks, confirm the listed data source and timestamp convention on the contract page before trading.
When the market creator or platform sets the resolution window, KALSHI will publish the exact start and end timestamps; until then the interval is not fixed—monitor the event page for the scheduled timing and any time-zone or timestamp clarifications.
Low volume often means thinner order books, so individual large orders or algorithmic executions can move the reference price more easily and either create or prevent a brief touch of the target; conversely, higher liquidity generally smooths price action and makes tiny, transient ticks less likely.
Scheduled macro releases, surprise economic headlines, major exchange outages or halts, large block trades by institutions/whales, and automated trading strategies can all produce rapid moves that cause price to hit or miss a short-term target within a 15-minute period.