| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,748.25 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market covers whether Bitcoin will trade at the $70,748.25 price level within a specified 15-minute observation window. It matters for traders and hedgers who need to express or protect views on very short-term Bitcoin moves.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose price can move sharply on news, order flow, and large trades. Short intra‑day targets like this one are driven by minute-by-minute supply and demand, market microstructure, and scheduled economic or crypto‑specific events.
Market odds on the event page reflect participants’ collective view about the likelihood that the contract’s resolution condition will be met during the 15-minute window; those odds update continuously as new information and trades arrive.
It denotes a contract that will resolve based on whether Bitcoin reaches the specified price level during a 15-minute observation period; the detailed settlement definition (how the price is observed and whether a single tick or an average is used) is provided on the KALSHI event page and in the contract terms.
The precise start and end times of the 15-minute window are set by the event’s settlement schedule on KALSHI; since the event 'Closes' field is listed as TBD, check the platform’s event details for the official timing once it is posted.
The contract will specify a settlement price source or index (for example an exchange composite); consult the event’s settlement rules on KALSHI to see which feed and timestamp conventions are used.
That depends on the settlement rule defined for this contract—some contracts count any trade or quote that meets the threshold during the window, others require a specific kind of print or an average; check the contract terms for the authoritative definition.
A zero traded volume simply means no trades have executed yet on this market; you can submit orders according to KALSHI’s order book and matching rules, but execution requires a counterparty or liquidity on the platform.