| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,704.48 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will meet the $70,704.48 price condition over a specified 15-minute measurement period. It matters because short intraday targets capture volatility and trader expectations around immediate price moves.
The market is hosted on KALSHI and currently shows no traded volume; resolution depends on the platform's settlement rules for 15-minute BTC measurements. Bitcoin historically exhibits high intraday volatility, so outcomes for short windows often hinge on brief spikes, liquidity gaps, and news-driven moves. Traders should treat this as an event tied to minute-scale market structure rather than long-term fundamentals.
Odds on this market reflect how participants collectively price the chance that the BTC reference price will meet the target during the defined 15-minute window; they update as new information (orders, news, liquidity changes) arrives. Always read the market terms to understand how the quoted odds map to potential payout at settlement.
Resolution will use the reference Bitcoin price specified in the market's settlement terms measured over the stated 15-minute window; the market description defines whether the condition is met by a snapshot, an average, or any trade hitting the level.
The market currently lists the close as TBD; KALSHI will publish the precise start and end timestamps and the close time on the market page — monitor that page for the official schedule and any updates.
KALSHI specifies the settlement price source in the market's rules; check the event's full terms to see the named exchange(s) or index used for the 15-minute measurement, or contact KALSHI support if it is not listed.
A winning outcome is defined by the market's settlement clause: if the reference price meets the stated target according to the marketplace's criteria during the 15-minute measurement period, the single outcome resolves as having occurred and payouts follow KALSHI's rules.
Examine recent intraday price charts around the target level, historical frequency of similar short-term spikes, order book liquidity snapshots, and the market's behavior during comparable macro or crypto events; combine on-chain flows and exchange volume patterns for context.