| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,681.48 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will meet a $70,681.48 price target during a specified 15‑minute measurement period. Short-interval targets matter because they capture immediate price risk and are useful for hedging or trading around fast-moving events.
Short-duration Bitcoin contracts focus on intraminute volatility rather than longer-term trends; outcomes depend heavily on order flow, liquidity, and the exact settlement data feed used. Markets like this are often listed around anticipated catalysts or simply to allow traders to express views on near-term price moves; because this listing shows the close time as TBD, traders should confirm the settlement schedule and source before trading.
Prediction market prices reflect the aggregate market view of whether the target will be met during the 15‑minute window and update as new information arrives. Use them as signals about short-term market sentiment, but always check the event's resolution rules and data source.
The outcome is decided by the reference BTC price during the market's defined 15‑minute settlement window according to the event's rules; the market page will state whether the measurement is an end tick, an average, or another method and which data feed is authoritative.
'Closes: TBD' means the exact settlement timestamp has not yet been posted; the platform will publish the official 15‑minute UTC timestamp or schedule on the market page, and that defined window is what will be used for resolution.
The market's resolution criteria in the official terms explain whether the target is met (for example whether the reference price is at, at-or-above, or otherwise compared to $70,681.48 during the 15‑minute window); consult those terms to understand the payout condition.
The settlement data source is specified in the market's rules; it matters because brief, localized price dislocations or exchange-specific trades during the 15‑minute window can change whether the target is recorded as met.
High-impact headlines landing inside the window, single large market orders or whale transfers, forced liquidations in derivatives markets, and exchange outages or thin order books are the main drivers that can move Bitcoin into or out of the target range within 15 minutes.