| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,675.95 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's market price will meet the specified $70,675.95 target within a designated 15-minute measurement window. Short, time‑bounded price targets matter because they concentrate attention on immediate market dynamics and liquidity around a specific timestamp.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose price can move rapidly in response to order flow, macro news, and technical events. Fifteen‑minute target markets are sensitive to microstructure (exchange order books, algorithmic trading) as well as any breaking news or large trades that occur shortly before the settlement window.
Prediction market odds for this event reflect traders' collective expectations about whether the specified price condition will be met at settlement; odds will change as new information, liquidity, and risk preferences evolve in the lead‑up to the measurement window.
The event uses a defined 15‑minute interval that ends at a specific timestamp chosen at listing; the event's official rules on the KALSHI page specify the exact start and end times for that window.
KALSHI will rely on the price reference and sampling method specified in the event's settlement rules—check the event page for which exchange or aggregated feed and sampling methodology are used.
Whether an exact match satisfies the condition depends on the event's outcome definition (for example whether the rule is 'at or above', 'strictly above', or exact equality); the settlement rules on the event page define how ties are treated.
Yes—15‑minute targets are particularly sensitive to late breaking news, sudden order‑flow imbalances, or sizable trades and can shift materially in the final minutes or seconds before settlement.
Low or zero traded volume simply indicates limited trading activity on this contract so far; it does not change settlement mechanics, which follow the specified price feed and rules, though low liquidity can make price discovery and execution more volatile.