| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,650.93 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will meet a $70,650.93 price target within a specified 15-minute measurement window; short-interval markets matter because they isolate brief, high-volatility moves that can create trading and hedging opportunities.
Bitcoin is known for rapid intraday moves driven by liquidity fluctuations, large orders, derivative liquidations, and news flow. Short-window targets like this capture minute-scale dynamics rather than longer-term trends; settlement depends on the exchange/index and timestamp rules that the platform uses.
Market prices on platforms reflect participants' collective expectations about that exact event and update continuously; interpret them as a live indicator of market sentiment rather than a guaranteed outcome.
The platform will specify a contiguous 15-minute interval whose start and end timestamps determine settlement; because this listing shows 'Closes: TBD', the exact window or its scheduling will be published by the market operator prior to settlement—check the event details on KALSHI for the official timing.
Settlement typically relies on an index or specific exchange trade feeds defined in the market rules; consult the event's settlement documentation on KALSHI to see which exchanges or consolidated index will be authoritative for this market.
That depends on the market's settlement condition—some markets count any trade at or above the target within the window, while others use an average or closing price; review the market's exact settlement clause to know whether a brief touch qualifies.
Zero volume means there has been no trading activity yet on the market, which can indicate low liquidity and wider bid-ask spreads; it does not affect how the event is settled but can make entering or exiting positions more difficult until more volume arrives.
A single outcome means the market resolves to one event condition (e.g., whether the price target is met during the specified 15-minute window); payout structure and exact win/lose criteria are defined in the event rules, so review those to understand how a resolution is determined.