| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,613.16 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market tests whether Bitcoin's reference price will meet the $70,613.16 target during a specified 15-minute interval. Short-interval price-target markets matter because they isolate intraday micro-moves and are useful for traders or hedgers focused on very short timeframes.
Bitcoin regularly exhibits high short-term volatility driven by news, liquidity shifts, derivatives activity, and order-book events; a 15-minute target emphasizes those microstructure drivers. Markets like this depend on the exact resolution rules (which exchange or aggregated feed is used and how the 15‑minute window is defined) and so can behave differently than longer-term price bets.
Odds on this market reflect the collective view of traders about whether the reference price will meet the stated condition within the specified 15-minute window; treat them as real-time consensus signals, not guarantees of outcome.
The event listing specifies the resolution window and how a 15-minute interval is anchored; check the market's 'how it resolves' or rules section for the exact timestamp convention (for example, which minute boundaries are used) and the named price source.
The precise resolution condition (equal to, greater than or equal to, less than, etc.) is defined in the market rules on the event page. Review that text before trading to understand the payout condition for this single-outcome market.
The event's details should name the specific exchange or aggregated feed used for resolution; always confirm the designated price source on the Kalshi event page because different feeds can show materially different price snapshots at a given minute.
A zero-volume reading means no trades have happened yet, not necessarily that trading is disabled. New or low-volume markets can have wider spreads and less liquidity, so exercise caution and check whether the market is open for trading and what the bid/ask depth looks like.
Closure time is listed as TBD on this listing; monitor the event page for the posted close time. After the market closes, the platform will publish the reference timestamp, the price used for resolution, and the final outcome according to the market rules.