| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,612.76 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's reference price will meet the $70,612.76 condition at a defined 15-minute settlement timestamp; it matters because it lets traders express views on very short-term BTC price behavior.
Short-interval markets like this isolate price action over a narrow window and are influenced by high-frequency order flow, exchange liquidity, and news that lands within minutes. Bitcoin is historically volatile at short timeframes, so small flows or announcements can swing whether the target is hit during the specified 15-minute period.
Market odds reflect the collective market view of whether the event condition will be met at the settlement timestamp and can change rapidly as new information arrives; consult the market page and rules for exact settlement mechanics before trading.
It ties the market outcome to Bitcoin's reference price at a specific 15-minute settlement timestamp; the event page and market rules define whether the condition is 'at or above', 'equal to', or another formulation—check those details on KALSHI before trading.
The platform specifies the exact settlement timestamp, timezone, and any rounding rules on the market page; use that official timestamp because a difference of seconds can affect outcome determination.
Settlement uses the data source named in the market's settlement rules—often an aggregate feed or a designated exchange—so review the event's settlement documentation on KALSHI to identify the authoritative price source.
The platform's published fallback and dispute procedures apply; typical remedies include using a backup feed, applying a time-weighted average around the window, or invoking a dispute resolution process—read KALSHI's settlement and dispute rules for the exact protocol.
Zero volume indicates little or no current trading interest, which can mean low liquidity and wider spreads; consider that activity may concentrate close to the settlement window, use limit orders if available, and monitor the market page for an announced close time or liquidity changes.