| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,528.53 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's price will meet the $70,528.53 target within a single 15-minute interval. It matters to traders who want to express views on short, intraday price spikes or hedge exposure to rapid moves.
Bitcoin frequently experiences intraday volatility driven by macro news, liquidity events, and algorithmic trading; short-window markets like this isolate the question of a brief price excursion rather than longer-term direction. Prediction markets with minute-based windows are used to capture collective expectations about whether a specific price threshold will be touched within a tightly defined time frame.
Market prices on this contract represent the market's consensus view about the chance of the event described, aggregated from participants trading on KALSHI. Use those odds as a real‑time gauge of sentiment and risk, not as a guarantee of future price behavior.
A 'Yes' outcome depends on whether the authoritative price feed specified by the event meets the target level within the defined 15-minute observation window; consult the event's settlement text on KALSHI for the precise operative wording and data source.
The 15-minute window refers to a contiguous 15-minute interval as constructed by the platform's official timestamps; the event's terms describe which interval(s) qualify and how start/stop times are anchored, so check the KALSHI event page for the exact definition.
Settlement uses the reference data source named in the event description on KALSHI (for example, a specific exchange or index); the event page lists the authoritative feed that governs final settlement.
Whether a momentary touch counts depends on the event's settlement rules (instantaneous ticks versus time-weighted measures); review the event's settlement methodology on the KALSHI page to see how transient price prints are treated.
The market close time is listed as TBD on the event summary; KALSHI will publish the official closing and settlement schedule on the event page and will announce the outcome after the observation period and data verification are complete.