| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,511.08 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin will meet the specified price target of $70,511.08 within a contract-defined 15-minute observation window. Short, timebound price-target markets matter because they isolate intraday liquidity and volatility around a precise threshold.
Short-interval BTC targets sit at the intersection of high-frequency trading, exchange liquidity, and macro or crypto-specific news flow. Historical context: bitcoin exhibits frequent minute-by-minute volatility, so outcomes for 15-minute targets often reflect order-book dynamics, large block trades, and real-time information flow rather than longer-term fundamentals.
Market odds reflect the collective trading beliefs, information, and risk preferences of participants and move in real time as new trades and news arrive. For a short window target, odds are especially sensitive to live price feeds, scheduled announcements, and large trader activity.
It refers to a pre-defined 15-minute interval used to determine whether the contract's price target is met; the event's rule text specifies the exact start and end times and whether a single tick or sustained price is required.
Closes are listed as TBD on the event page; the market’s rules will state the closure time and the exact timing of the 15-minute observation window once those details are set—monitor the event page for updates.
The contract’s resolution rules name the authoritative price source (for example, a specific exchange or index); check that clause to know which feed to monitor for settlement determinations.
That depends on the contract’s precise settlement language: some contracts count any trade or quote at or above the target within the window, while others require an average or persistent level—refer to the event's resolution criteria.
Use the same price feed specified in the contract, set real-time alerts around the target, monitor order-book liquidity and scheduled announcements, and plan for slippage and execution risk given the short time horizon.