| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,489.34 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This market asks whether Bitcoin's spot price will hit the $70,489.34 target at a specified 15-minute observation window on the KALSHI platform; it matters because short-interval targets capture intraday volatility that traders may want to hedge or speculate on.
Bitcoin is a highly liquid but volatile asset whose intraday price can move rapidly in response to macro news, large exchange flows, or derivatives activity. Markets that resolve on short timeframes (15 minutes) are designed to reflect those rapid moves and are sensitive to orderbook dynamics, exchange outages, and scheduled announcements.
Market odds reflect the collective expectations implied by current orders and trades for this specific 15-minute outcome and can change quickly as new information arrives; treat them as a dynamic indicator of market sentiment, not a guarantee of the outcome.
The market resolves using the specific 15-minute observation window and reference price source defined in the event's contract on KALSHI; consult the market details for the exact timestamp boundaries, timezone, and data feed used for settlement.
The event's settlement criteria (for example whether the price must be equal to, at or above, or strictly exceed the target) are spelled out in the market's rules; check the contract language on the platform to see which condition applies.
If a close time is listed as TBD, KALSHI will update the market page with an official close time before the event; until the platform posts that close, monitor the market for updates and any announcements about changes to trading windows.
Very susceptible: because settlement depends on a short observation window, a transient spike, exchange glitch, or large single trade around the observation can determine the outcome; traders should be aware of this sensitivity when interpreting prices or placing bets.
Contingency procedures are defined in the market documentation—typically an alternate data source or an arbitration/resolution process is used; review the market's 'resolution source' and dispute rules on KALSHI for the exact fallback and timeline.