| Outcome | Probability | Yes Bid | Yes Ask | 24h Change | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target Price: $70,462.40 | 0% | 0¢ | 0¢ | — | $0 | Trade → |
This Kalshi contract asks whether Bitcoin's reference price will meet a $70,462.40 target during a specified 15-minute observation period. It matters because it offers a narrowly focused way to trade or hedge minute-scale moves in BTC.
Contracts that resolve over short windows capture high-frequency volatility driven by news, order-flow events, and market microstructure. Bitcoin has a history of rapid intraday moves around macro releases, derivatives expiries, and large on-chain transfers, so minute-scale contracts can swing quickly. The precise resolution outcome depends on the market's stated price feed and timing rules.
Market prices on this contract represent the aggregate market view about whether the target condition will be met over the 15-minute window; they update in real time and reflect trader sentiment and available liquidity.
It designates a binary condition tied to Bitcoin's reference price relative to $70,462.40 during a 15-minute observation window; check the market's official rules page to see whether the contract uses a single timestamp snapshot, an average over the window, or another resolution method.
‘TBD’ means the scheduled observation and trade cutoff time have not been published yet; Kalshi will announce the resolution timestamp and any trade cutoff on the market page—monitor that page for updates before trading.
Resolution uses the specific price feed or exchange index named in the contract's rule text; if the summary doesn't list it, open the market rules on Kalshi to see the authoritative data source used for settlement.
Minute-scale flips are often caused by surprise macro announcements, concentrated derivatives liquidations, large block trades or transfers that move spot liquidity, or transient exchange order-book imbalances and algorithmic activity during thin markets.
A $0 traded volume typically indicates the market is newly listed or has had no participants yet; low or zero volume can mean wider spreads and higher execution risk, so review the order book and rules before entering positions.